SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 3-1 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong Ajax |
62.58% ( 0.1) | 18.98% ( -0.04) | 18.44% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.12% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.5% ( 0.1) | 31.5% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.02% ( 0.11) | 52.98% ( -0.11) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.28% ( 0.05) | 9.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.62% ( 0.12) | 32.38% ( -0.12) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0) | 30.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( 0.01) | 66.22% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.79% Total : 62.59% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 18.98% | 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 18.44% |
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