SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong Ajax |
62.27% ( -0.09) | 19.12% ( 0.03) | 18.61% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.88% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.06% ( -0.07) | 31.94% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.51% ( -0.08) | 53.49% ( 0.08) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% ( -0.04) | 9.92% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.15% ( -0.1) | 32.85% ( 0.09) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( 0.01) | 30.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.66% ( 0.01) | 66.34% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)0-0 @ 3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.12% | 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 18.61% |
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