SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
59.02% ( 0.19) | 20.94% ( -0.07) | 20.03% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.7% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.13) | 38.5% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( 0.14) | 60.79% ( -0.14) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( 0.09) | 12.77% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.94% ( 0.2) | 39.06% ( -0.2) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( -0.04) | 32.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% ( -0.05) | 69.25% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.78% Total : 59.02% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 20.03% |
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