SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | NAC Breda |
35.19% ( -0.66) | 22.94% ( 0.09) | 41.87% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 65.2% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.11% ( -0.59) | 35.89% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.02% ( -0.65) | 57.97% ( 0.65) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.59) | 20.76% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -0.94) | 53.4% ( 0.94) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( -0.01) | 17.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.62% ( -0.01) | 48.38% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 4% Total : 41.87% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
