SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | NAC Breda |
35.36% ( -0.2) | 24.06% ( 0.05) | 40.59% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.02% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.65% ( -0.26) | 41.35% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% ( -0.27) | 63.75% ( 0.27) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( -0.23) | 23.18% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( -0.34) | 57.07% ( 0.34) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0.04) | 20.56% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( -0.06) | 53.08% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.59% |
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