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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
49.72% ( -0.32) | 23.55% ( 0.06) | 26.73% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( -0.08) | 43.08% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( -0.08) | 65.48% ( 0.08) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( -0.15) | 17.45% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.1% ( -0.26) | 47.9% ( 0.26) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.15) | 29.52% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( 0.18) | 65.53% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.73% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 26.73% |
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