Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
