SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Helmond Sport |
58.11% ( 0.26) | 21.99% ( -0.11) | 19.89% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.48% ( 0.25) | 43.51% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.09% ( 0.24) | 65.91% ( -0.24) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( 0.17) | 14.69% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.14% ( 0.32) | 42.86% ( -0.32) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.26% ( -0.02) | 35.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% ( -0.01) | 72.51% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 58.11% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 19.89% |
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