SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | NAC Breda |
33.92% ( 0.02) | 25.13% ( 0) | 40.95% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.35% ( -0.02) | 46.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( -0.01) | 68.92% ( 0.01) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( 0) | 26.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% ( 0.01) | 61.68% ( -0.01) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( -0.02) | 22.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( -0.03) | 56.32% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.95% |
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