SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | NAC Breda |
33.92% ( 0.02) | 25.13% ( 0) | 40.95% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.35% ( -0.02) | 46.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( -0.01) | 68.92% ( 0.01) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( 0) | 26.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.32% ( 0.01) | 61.68% ( -0.01) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( -0.02) | 22.68% ( 0.02) |
