Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-0 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
