SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Helmond Sport |
56.62% ( 0.41) | 22.78% ( -0.26) | 20.6% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54% ( 0.92) | 46% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.7% ( 0.86) | 68.3% ( -0.87) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( 0.46) | 16.03% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.62% ( 0.84) | 45.38% ( -0.85) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( 0.37) | 36.44% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.77% ( 0.37) | 73.23% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 56.62% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.6% |
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