SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 3-1 (7.04%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
58.69% ( 1.7) | 20.06% ( -0.62) | 21.25% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.04% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.55% ( 1.6) | 32.45% ( -1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.91% ( 1.84) | 54.09% ( -1.84) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.02% ( 0.96) | 10.97% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.78% ( 2.08) | 35.22% ( -2.08) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( 0.01) | 28.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% ( 0.02) | 63.73% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.18)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.11)4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.14% Total : 58.69% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.4% Total : 21.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
