SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
37.21% ( -0.94) | 24.59% ( -0.02) | 38.2% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( 0.09) | 43.73% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( 0.09) | 66.12% ( -0.09) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( -0.45) | 23.27% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.79% ( -0.66) | 57.2% ( 0.66) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( 0.53) | 22.76% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.54% ( 0.78) | 56.46% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.21% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.2% |
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