SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
49.75% ( -1.12) | 21.85% ( 0.28) | 28.4% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 65.79% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.73) | 33.68% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.49% ( -0.83) | 55.5% ( 0.83) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( -0.62) | 13.98% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.51% ( -1.23) | 41.49% ( 1.23) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( 0.17) | 23.51% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( 0.24) | 57.54% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.75% Total : 49.75% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.4% |
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