Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 74.49%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 9.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.29%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match.