Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 6.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.35%) and 0-3 (12.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-0 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.27) 
