SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
57.61% ( -0.17) | 21.69% ( 0.14) | 20.7% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.97% ( -0.59) | 41.03% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.57% ( -0.61) | 63.42% ( 0.61) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.98% ( -0.25) | 14.02% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.43% ( -0.49) | 41.56% ( 0.49) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( -0.31) | 33.51% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% ( -0.34) | 70.14% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.94% 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 57.61% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.7% |
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