SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
40.21% ( -0.27) | 24.04% ( 0.14) | 35.75% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 61.14% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.67) | 41.23% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.37% ( -0.69) | 63.62% ( 0.69) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( -0.41) | 20.69% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% ( -0.65) | 53.28% ( 0.65) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( -0.24) | 22.91% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.32% ( -0.36) | 56.67% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 40.21% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.75% |
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