SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 55.4%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Telstar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
55.4% ( 0.03) | 21.45% ( -0.02) | 23.15% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.64% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.23% ( 0.05) | 36.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.07% ( 0.05) | 58.93% ( -0.05) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.72% ( 0.02) | 13.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.91% ( 0.05) | 40.09% ( -0.05) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( 0.01) | 28.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( 0.02) | 64.8% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 23.15% |
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