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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 2-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
12.66% ( 0.79) | 17.46% ( 0.8) | 69.87% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.47% ( -1.84) | 36.53% ( 1.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% ( -2.03) | 58.68% ( 2.03) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.54% ( 0.03) | 40.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.93% ( 0.03) | 77.07% ( -0.03) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.62% ( -0.83) | 9.38% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.41% ( -2) | 31.59% ( 2) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.58% Total : 12.66% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.46% | 0-2 @ 10.62% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.15)0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.47)0-3 @ 8.38% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 7.59% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 4.96% ( -0.32)1-4 @ 4.49% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 2.35% ( -0.25)1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.13)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.1)0-6 @ 0.93% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.41% Total : 69.86% |
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