SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Telstar win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Telstar |
54.68% ( 0.03) | 23.18% ( 0.01) | 22.14% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.16% ( -0.07) | 45.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% ( -0.06) | 68.16% ( 0.06) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( -0.02) | 16.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.5% ( -0.03) | 46.5% ( 0.03) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( -0.07) | 34.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% ( -0.07) | 71.6% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Telstar |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 22.14% |
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