Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Telstar win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
