Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
