Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Dordrecht
50.06% ( 0.08)	23.16% ( -0.03)	26.77% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

0.1)

41.27% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33% (

0.1)

63.66% (

-0.1)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.35% (

0.06)

16.64% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.51% (

0.12)

46.48% (

-0.12)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46% (

0.01)

28.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67% (

0.02)

64.32% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 50.06%

Dordrecht 26.77%

Draw 23.15%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Dordrecht
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 50.06%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.77%