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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Dordrecht

van Bommel (45+3'), Essers (78')
Matthys (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Longo (90+1')
Longo (68'), Smolarczyk (88')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Helmond 1-2 MVV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-0 Jong PSV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
50.06% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 23.16% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 26.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.099000000000004 0.1)41.27% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (0.10100000000001 0.1)63.66% (-0.102 -0.1)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.064999999999998 0.06)16.64% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (0.119 0.12)46.48% (-0.119 -0.12)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (0.012 0.01)28.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)64.32% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 50.06%
    Dordrecht 26.77%
    Draw 23.15%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 50.06%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 26.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Helmond 1-2 MVV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 3-2 FC Eindhoven
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Willem II 2-0 MVV
Sunday, March 26 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 1-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 MVV
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 0-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-0 Jong PSV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-1 Dordrecht
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 0-0 Helmond
Sunday, March 26 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Den Bosch 3-1 Dordrecht
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 0-4 De Graafschap
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 0-1 Almere City
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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