Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.
Result | ||
MVV Maastricht | Draw | Dordrecht |
50.06% ( 0.08) | 23.16% ( -0.03) | 26.77% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 59.57% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.73% ( 0.1) | 41.27% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.33% ( 0.1) | 63.66% ( -0.1) |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% ( 0.06) | 16.64% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.51% ( 0.12) | 46.48% ( -0.12) |
Dordrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% ( 0.01) | 28.54% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% ( 0.02) | 64.32% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
MVV Maastricht | Draw | Dordrecht |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 50.06% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.77% |
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