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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Roda JC |
30.76% ( -0.38) | 22.65% ( 0.08) | 46.59% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 64.46% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.89% ( -0.58) | 36.11% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.78% ( -0.64) | 58.22% ( 0.64) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( -0.5) | 23.29% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.77% ( -0.74) | 57.23% ( 0.75) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% ( -0.11) | 15.97% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.73% ( -0.2) | 45.27% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.59% |
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