SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
47.08% ( -0.86) | 21.99% ( -0.02) | 30.93% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 67.05% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.23% ( 0.63) | 32.77% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.55% ( 0.73) | 54.45% ( -0.72) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% ( -0.05) | 14.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.43% ( -0.11) | 42.57% ( 0.11) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% ( 0.82) | 21.55% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( 1.24) | 54.63% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.54% Total : 30.93% |
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