Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 3-1 (6.58%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	De Graafschap
54.13%	20.94%	24.94% ( -0)

Both teams to score 65.83% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.76% (

32.24% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.15% (

53.84% (

-0)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.85% (

-0)

12.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.24% (

37.76% (

-0)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

-0)

25.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.25% (

-0)

59.74%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 54.13%

De Graafschap 24.94%

Draw 20.94%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 6.58% 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 4.55% 4-1 @ 3.47% 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.46% 4-3 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.06% 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.7% Total : 54.13%	1-1 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.05% 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.94%	1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.03% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.94%