SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 3-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Vitesse |
68.5% ( 0.06) | 17.25% ( -0.11) | 14.24% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.69% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.53% ( 0.66) | 31.46% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.06% ( 0.78) | 52.93% ( -0.78) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.62% ( 0.18) | 8.38% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.84% ( 0.46) | 29.15% ( -0.46) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( 0.5) | 34.84% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% ( 0.52) | 71.57% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.59% Total : 68.5% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.25% | 1-2 @ 4.02% 0-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 14.24% |
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