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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
61.79% ( -0.09) | 20.21% ( 0.03) | 17.99% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.52% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.69% ( -0.01) | 38.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.41% ( -0.01) | 60.58% ( 0.01) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.07% ( -0.03) | 11.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.71% ( -0.06) | 37.29% ( 0.06) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% ( 0.06) | 34.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.58% ( 0.07) | 71.41% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.06% Total : 61.8% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.21% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 17.99% |
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