Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.1) 
