SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Roda JC |
45.53% ( -0.16) | 24.92% ( 0.1) | 29.55% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% ( -0.37) | 47.36% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( -0.34) | 69.58% ( 0.35) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.22) | 20.85% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.47% ( -0.35) | 53.54% ( 0.36) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( -0.13) | 29.67% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.28% ( -0.16) | 65.73% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Roda JC |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.55% |
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