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EFL Cup | Last 16
Oct 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Emirates Stadium
LL

Arsenal
2 - 0
Leeds

Chambers (55'), Nketiah (69')
Soares (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roberts (23')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawLeeds United
46.42%24.03%29.55%
Both teams to score 58.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63%43.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.23%65.77%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14%18.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.68%50.32%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34%27.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79%63.21%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 46.42%
    Leeds United 29.55%
    Draw 24.03%
ArsenalDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.26%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.33%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-1 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29.55%

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