SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Leeds United |
| 46.42% | 24.03% | 29.55% |
| Both teams to score 58.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% | 43.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% | 65.77% |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% | 18.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.68% | 50.32% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% | 27.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.79% | 63.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.34% Total : 46.42% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-1 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.55% |
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