SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Derby County |
69.14% ( -0.14) | 17.82% ( 0.1) | 13.04% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.7% ( -0.41) | 37.3% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.48% ( -0.44) | 59.51% ( 0.44) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.24% ( -0.14) | 9.76% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.52% ( -0.33) | 32.47% ( 0.33) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% ( -0.21) | 40.4% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.98% ( -0.19) | 77.02% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Derby County |
| 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.08% Total : 69.14% | 1-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.82% | 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.04% |
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