SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.27%) and 1-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Liverpool |
42.79% ( -0.04) | 21.82% | 35.39% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 69.66% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.88% ( 0) | 30.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.67% ( 0) | 51.33% ( -0.01) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.98% ( -0.01) | 15.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.51% ( -0.02) | 43.48% ( 0.02) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( 0.01) | 18.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.07% ( 0.03) | 48.92% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.39% |
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