SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.41%) and 1-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Napoli |
43.82% ( 0.14) | 21.71% ( 0.02) | 34.47% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 69.8% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.17% ( -0.15) | 29.83% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.01% ( -0.18) | 50.98% ( 0.17) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( -0.01) | 14.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.43% ( -0.02) | 42.56% ( 0.01) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( -0.15) | 18.33% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.57% ( -0.25) | 49.43% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.47% |
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