Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
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