A full week on the training ground will have allowed Ince to get his ideas across at Reading and the Royals could nick a point against Millwall, whose lengthy injury list might just catch up with them despite their imperious form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Millwall
28.69%	26.02%	45.28%

Both teams to score 51.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.63%

52.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.94%

74.05%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11%

32.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54%

69.45%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93%

23.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.1%

56.89%

Score Analysis

Reading 28.69%

Millwall 45.28%

Draw 26.01%

Reading	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.69%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 8.16% 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.03% Total : 45.28%