Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
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