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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
The New Lawn
OU

Forest Green
0 - 1
Oxford Utd


Inniss (13'), Omotoye (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Goodrham (49')
Rodriguez (53'), Negru (82')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Forest Green Rovers and Oxford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
29.46% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 23.54% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 46.99% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.35% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (0.164 0.16)41.16% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (0.167 0.17)63.56% (-0.17 -0.17)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (0.054000000000002 0.05)26.61% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (0.073 0.07)61.83% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.095999999999989 0.1)17.76% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.54% (0.166 0.17)48.46% (-0.168 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 29.46%
    Oxford United 46.99%
    Draw 23.54%
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.33% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 46.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Bradford
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Forest Green
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 5-2 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Forest Green
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-0 Brighton U21s (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup


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