Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.