With a trip to Wembley on offer to both sides, this game has a big-match feel to it, particularly for the home side who have less to fight for in their respective league. However, we cannot back against the visitors, who will be motivated to bounce back from their surprise defeat at the weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (9.07%).