Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
-2.83) 
0.47) 
