Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
