Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
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