SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Almere City |
41.25% ( 0.71) | 24.96% ( -0.02) | 33.79% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -0.07) | 45.92% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.77% ( -0.07) | 68.23% ( 0.07) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( 0.31) | 22.21% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.37% ( 0.47) | 55.63% ( -0.47) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( -0.44) | 26.22% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% ( -0.6) | 61.32% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.25% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.79% |
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