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Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
A

Utrecht
4 - 3
Ajax

Flamingo (44'), van der Hoorn (48'), Toornstra (71'), Fraulo (90')
Seuntjens (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hlynsson (52', 55'), Bergwijn (65' pen.)
Sosa (75'), Tahirovic (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 1-0 Utrecht
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-2 Ajax

Such has been Ajax's demise that you cannot back them to defeat any Dutch team with any great confidence. Nevertheless, we are predicting that the visitors will battle their way to a hard-fought triumph, potentially kick-starting their campaign in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
32.29% (1.477 1.48) 23.27% (0.652 0.65) 44.45% (-2.131 -2.13)
Both teams to score 62.96% (-1.662 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (-2.495 -2.5)38.41% (2.493 2.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-2.695 -2.7)60.7% (2.693 2.69)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)23.51% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)57.55% (0.505 0.5)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (-1.789 -1.79)17.69% (1.787 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67% (-3.189 -3.19)48.33% (3.188 3.19)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 32.29%
    Ajax 44.45%
    Draw 23.26%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.305 0.31)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.633 0.63)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.418 0.42)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.183 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.514 0.51)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.475 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.431 0.43)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.22% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 44.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Volendam 1-0 Utrecht
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Almere City
Saturday, September 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Utrecht
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, September 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ajax 0-4 Feyenoord
Wednesday, September 27 at 1pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-3 Marseille
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Twente 3-1 Ajax
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Ajax
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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