SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
33.2% ( 0.38) | 24.62% ( 0.07) | 42.18% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( -0.22) | 44.53% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( -0.21) | 66.9% ( 0.22) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( 0.13) | 25.91% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% ( 0.17) | 60.89% ( -0.17) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( -0.3) | 21.18% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.95% ( -0.47) | 54.05% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.18% |
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