With only little margin for error in the title race, PSV cannot afford to slip up this weekend against a more than capable Utrecht side. We expect an open and entertaining affair with the away side narrowly edging out their hosts to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
21.49%	21.74%	56.78%

Both teams to score 58.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.82%

40.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.45%

62.54%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72%

32.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22%

68.78%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86%

13.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.49%

41.51%

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 21.49%

PSV Eindhoven 56.78%

Draw 21.73%

FC Utrecht	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.68% 1-0 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.49%	1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.73%	1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 8.74% 1-3 @ 6.48% 0-3 @ 5.73% 2-3 @ 3.66% 1-4 @ 3.18% 0-4 @ 2.82% 2-4 @ 1.8% 1-5 @ 1.25% 0-5 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.26% Total : 56.78%