SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 7.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
79.51% ( -0.04) | 12.9% ( 0.01) | 7.59% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.21% ( 0.1) | 29.79% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.06% ( 0.12) | 50.94% ( -0.12) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.15% ( 0.02) | 5.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.54% ( 0.04) | 22.45% ( -0.03) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.56% ( 0.16) | 45.44% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.71% ( 0.13) | 81.28% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.93% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.38% Total : 79.5% | 1-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 12.9% | 1-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 7.59% |
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