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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
70.17% ( 0.18) | 16.46% ( -0.05) | 13.36% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.4% ( -0.1) | 29.59% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.3% ( -0.13) | 50.7% ( 0.13) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.43% ( 0.01) | 7.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.9% ( 0.03) | 27.09% ( -0.03) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( -0.26) | 34.75% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.52% ( -0.27) | 71.48% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 70.17% | 1-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.46% | 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.78% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 13.36% |
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