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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Emirates Stadium
P

Arsenal
1 - 0
PSV

Xhaka (71')
Xhaka (45+1'), Tierney (89'), Odegaard (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gutierrez (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: PSV 6-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Arsenal 2-2 PSV Eindhoven

How Arsenal came away from their meetings with Bodo/Glimt and Leeds with two clean sheets is still beyond belief, and a similar performance to Sunday's from the Gunners would certainly see them punished by a ruthless PSV side. With the Emirates crowd behind them after a few days of recovery, Arteta will expect his reshuffled side to be back to their best to seal a place in the knockout rounds, but PSV can feel confident of taking a point back to base following an entertaining spectacle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawPSV Eindhoven
50.09% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 22.98% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 26.93% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (-0.15 -0.15)40.29% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (-0.153 -0.15)62.67% (0.153 0.15)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)16.27% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (-0.105 -0.1)45.81% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)27.91% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (-0.12 -0.12)63.53% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 50.09%
    PSV Eindhoven 26.93%
    Draw 22.98%
ArsenalDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Arsenal
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-2 Liverpool
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-0 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Spurs
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-3 Arsenal
Sunday, September 18 at 12pm in Premier League
Last Game: PSV 6-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-0 FC Zurich
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-1 PSV
Sunday, October 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Zurich 1-5 PSV
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Cambuur 3-0 PSV
Saturday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 4-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, September 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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