SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
50.09% ( -0.01) | 22.98% ( 0.03) | 26.93% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.7% ( -0.15) | 40.29% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.33% ( -0.15) | 62.67% ( 0.15) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( -0.06) | 16.27% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.18% ( -0.1) | 45.81% ( 0.1) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( -0.1) | 27.91% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( -0.12) | 63.53% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.93% |
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