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Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
G

Nijmegen
6 - 0
Groningen

Ogawa (6' pen., 26'), Hansen (32'), van Crooij (52'), Ouaissa (74'), Ouwejan (86' pen.)
Verdonk (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Peersman (5'), Schreuders (36'), Valente (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 1-0 Nijmegen
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 Groningen

Buoyed by their cup wins in midweek, both teams will head into Sunday's game on a high which should make for an exciting contest.   That said, we are backing NEC to make home advantage count and get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawGroningen
41.17% (-0.625 -0.63) 23.58% (0.569 0.57) 35.25% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 62.78% (-2.151 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.94% (-2.811 -2.81)39.06% (2.813 2.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.62% (-3.013 -3.01)61.38% (3.015 3.02)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-1.436 -1.44)19.33% (1.438 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.9% (-2.415 -2.42)51.1% (2.419 2.42)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (-1.257 -1.26)22.18% (1.259 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (-1.932 -1.93)55.58% (1.934 1.93)
Score Analysis
    NEC 41.17%
    Groningen 35.25%
    Draw 23.58%
NECDrawGroningen
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.605 0.61)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.293 -0.29)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.54 0.54)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.544 0.54)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.601 0.6)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.281 0.28)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 Nijmegen
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord
Saturday, September 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 20 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Groningen
Sunday, October 6 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-1 Groningen
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-2 Feyenoord
Saturday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie


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