SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Almere City |
38.95% ( -1.39) | 23.99% ( -0.04) | 37.06% ( 1.43) |
| Both teams to score 61.5% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.18% ( 0.34) | 40.82% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.79% ( 0.34) | 63.21% ( -0.34) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -0.51) | 21.11% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( -0.8) | 53.94% ( 0.81) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( 0.9) | 22.04% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( 1.34) | 55.37% ( -1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.75% Total : 38.95% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.06% |
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